At least this forecast track includes Haiti and Cuba they may take some edge off of it...Unfortunately taking the edge off it in those 2 places involves a much higher probability of death...
Ivan will be a much much stronger storm than charlie. Im seriously considering on visting a friend up north for 2 weeks or so. Just think hugo times 3 and thats Ivan. If it hits in Lil Cuba, Orlando shouldnt be that bad.
But if it turns up slightly and comes in around Vero Beach and Melbourne, You wont see Disney anymore, muchless Xouqoa when hes blown away!
The chances of 3 of those comming to central florida in one year must be less than 1 in 300...im guessing something will happen at that distance and wel be okay, the same panic came in when Earl was on a similar route.
Thanks to frances though i dont have a fucking boat dock anymore, and the part of it thats left is underwater (guess that answeres the jew ski question ) but luckily none of my rides were damaged.
-xzionis human mage on mannoroth
-zeltharath tauren shaman on wildhammer
Dregor Thule wrote:I like to race the downhill shalom on my jew skis.
Hoil!
Ha! Nice one, man!
Makora
Too often it seems it is the peaceful and innocent who are slaughtered. In this a lesson may be found that it may not be prudential to be either too peaceful or too innocent. One does not survive with wolves by becoming a sheep.
The schools here are closed monday and friday, and they're evacuating the old farts and trailer trash.
"There is at least as much need to curb the cruel greed and arrogance of part of the world of capital, to curb the cruel greed and violence of part of the world of labor, as to check a cruel and unhealthy militarism in international relationships." -Theodore Roosevelt
Too often it seems it is the peaceful and innocent who are slaughtered. In this a lesson may be found that it may not be prudential to be either too peaceful or too innocent. One does not survive with wolves by becoming a sheep.
The storm currently is heading for Jamaica with 160 mph winds. The most powerful hurricane to hit the Caribbean in nearly a decade, it already has killed at least 16 people, damaged 90 percent of Grenada's homes and destroyed a prison that left criminals running loose, officials said.
Wow Cat 5.
Won't Jamaica and Cuba take most of the "wind" out of Ivan before it hits Florida? It looks like it's heading right over both of those islands. I recall one of the hurricanes a few years ago regaining some of it's strength while hanging out in the Gulf. According to the linked picture above, the patch is driectly north from cuba to Florida which should help keep it weakened.
Thanks Adel! Tell Esth that I'll be fine. Worst case, I go to the bank all the architects in town use as a shelter. If they think it's safe, that's good enough for me.
"There is at least as much need to curb the cruel greed and arrogance of part of the world of capital, to curb the cruel greed and violence of part of the world of labor, as to check a cruel and unhealthy militarism in international relationships." -Theodore Roosevelt
masteen wrote:Thanks Adel! Tell Esth that I'll be fine. Worst case, I go to the bank all the architects in town use as a shelter. If they think it's safe, that's good enough for me.
I thought you lived in Tampa! Move?
"Our problems are man-made, therefore they may be solved by man. No problem of human destiny is beyond human beings." - John F Kennedy
Yeah, I moved home last year. I never liked Tampa, and when 7/8th of my friends left I had no reason to stay longer.
"There is at least as much need to curb the cruel greed and arrogance of part of the world of capital, to curb the cruel greed and violence of part of the world of labor, as to check a cruel and unhealthy militarism in international relationships." -Theodore Roosevelt
Please. We have the huge windbreak called Cuba to eat these storms for us. I'm so worried that I have 4 days of COH pencilled in
"There is at least as much need to curb the cruel greed and arrogance of part of the world of capital, to curb the cruel greed and violence of part of the world of labor, as to check a cruel and unhealthy militarism in international relationships." -Theodore Roosevelt
Cuba will weaken it, but it will still probably be cat4 if and when it hits florida, if it slows down then I wont bother getting out of here, but if it keeps speed im not sure what im going to do.
I would think getting inside a large plastic bubble ball would be a good way to survive a hurricane. you'd blow all over the place but would end up unscratched.
Depends which part of Florida you're talking about. We're only 90 miles north of Habana, so not much time to gather power between them and us.
Now, Naples, Miami and north means another 150-200 miles of warm Gulf waters, which usually means they get a much stronger storm than us.
"There is at least as much need to curb the cruel greed and arrogance of part of the world of capital, to curb the cruel greed and violence of part of the world of labor, as to check a cruel and unhealthy militarism in international relationships." -Theodore Roosevelt
Im in Orlando. Frances was so weak by the time it got here that many people I know hardly considered it a tropical storm. I guess 300 miles of land weakens a storm quite a bit
Sionistic wrote:Im in Orlando. Frances was so weak by the time it got here that many people I know hardly considered it a tropical storm. I guess 300 miles of land weakens a storm quite a bit
Florida isn't even 200 miles across (From Tampa to Vero Beach).. So no way Frances went over 300 miles of land before it got to Orlando, even going diagonal!
Unless you mean Ivan if it comes from the South. Anyway, the projected path over Cuba isn't all tha much land either so I don't think it will weaken it a whole lot.
Sionistic wrote:Im in Orlando. Frances was so weak by the time it got here that many people I know hardly considered it a tropical storm. I guess 300 miles of land weakens a storm quite a bit
Florida isn't even 200 miles across (From Tampa to Vero Beach).. So no way Frances went over 300 miles of land before it got to Orlando, even going diagonal!
Unless you mean Ivan if it comes from the South. Anyway, the projected path over Cuba isn't all tha much land either so I don't think it will weaken it a whole lot.
The land its projected to cross over Cuba is very small landmass wise, there is a lot more water it will cross after, so it will just strengthen after it passes cuba, overall it can weaken a bit, but it wont too much
-xzionis human mage on mannoroth
-zeltharath tauren shaman on wildhammer
The hurrican seems to be slowing down (not in it's force but it's motion across the ocean). Is that good or bad? Will a slower movement let Cuba abosorb most of the damage and help to weaken it while it slowly moves over a land mass?
slower movement means costal areas will be hit longer, but will weaken the storm a lot. However yes slow movement does give hurricanes more time to strengthen.
Jamaica and Cuba aren't really big enough that they damage storm strength regardless of the speed of movement across them...slow movement here is bad as it increases the storm's build time...and of course slow movement along the florida coast with the eye offshore is very very bad...
That said it will continue to slow as the steering currents from an offshore high weaken...
As of 5 p.m., Ivan's maximum sustained winds were near 165 mph (270 kph), with higher gusts, according to the National Hurricane Center in Miami, Florida. The storm was 145 miles (235 kilometers) east-southeast of Grand Cayman Island.
Fuck, I think that's where my offshore sportsbook is located. Hang in there! I still have a bet or two to place on the Sunday NFL games!
Winnow wrote:I would think getting inside a large plastic bubble ball would be a good way to survive a hurricane. you'd blow all over the place but would end up unscratched.
The first thing I thought of when I saw this was...wouldn't it suck to get blown out to see in one of these things?
these things always have to ruin my fucking weekend, this has the potential to be the worst one, but im always pretty optimistic about hurricanes, as i always underestimate them, rightfully so until this year
My dad lives there at Vero beach.He called yesterday morning and said they were being evacuated then called me back about 7pm est. and said he had lost everything he owned.
Knibble Megentlee
65 Prophet "Retired"
Keepers Of The Elements
Demma,Karelily,Knibble on Blackburrow(EQ2)
Plague of Darkness
This hurricane sucked dick, knocked the tree in my front yard onto my garage, god only knows how it didnt go through it. Oh well, I didn't lose power at least