Fuzzy Math

[Pherr the Dorf]

Any updated or more specific information would be appreciated.

http://www.cia.gov/cia/publications/factbook/geos/iz.ht...

Population:
25,374,691 (July 2004 est.)

Age structure:
0-14 years: 40.3% (male 5,198,966; female 5,039,173)
15-64 years: 56.7% (male 7,280,167; female 7,094,688)
65 years and over: 3% (male 357,651; female 404,046) (2004 est.)

Ethnic Groups:
Arab 75%-80%, Kurdish 15%-20%, Turkoman, Assyrian or other 5%

Religions:
Muslim 97% (Shi'a 60%-65%, Sunni 32%-37%), Christian or other 3%

The KC Star reported today that "In addition, Iraq's Sunni Muslim population, which makes up about 20 percent of the nation's 15 million eligible voters, may heed the call of its clerics and boycott the election. The clerics contend that there is too much violence for their supporters to feel safe going to the polls."

So I've read from several sources that estimates are currently that 8 million people voted-1.5 million doing so from outside of Iraq.
So that leaves 6.5Mil out of 15Mil= 43.33% turnout.


I want to add I think 43% is a great number, but why lie?

[miir]

That's a big drop from the 70-75% they originally reported.

[nobody]

my understanding was that it was 70 to 75 percent in certain areas, not the whole. could be wrong, i dunno.

[Arborealus]

I want to add I think 43% is a great number, but why lie?

You're forgetting Poland...

[Hesten]

Guess the same persons that arranged the last 2 US elections have been down there as consultants

[Brotha]

1.5 million doing so from outside of Iraq.

Where did you get that figure from? I just looked it up and got this:

http://www.msnbc.msn.com/id/6876911/

LONDON - About 93 percent of the 280,000 Iraqi voters registered abroad cast absentee ballots in the country's election, the international agency that organized the vote said Monday.

The Geneva-based International Organization for Migration said that 265,148 Iraqi expatriate voters went to the special polls over three days in 14 countries.

[Chmee]

http://www.danieldrezner.com/archives/001889.html

(original quote from washington post article here - http://www.washingtonpost.com/wp-dyn/ar ... tml?sub=AR)

The election commission said 8.55 million votes were cast; about 14.66 million people were registered to take part in the election. The 58 percent turnout fell short of the 60 percent that officials had predicted soon after the vote.

[Brotha]

Nice breakdown of the election:

http://www.patrickruffini.com/archives/ ... s-full.gif