It's certainly not going
well.
But it's not going as poorly as everyone wants to make it out to be, either.
There are certainly signs that not everything is going to shit militarily in Iraq. For instance:
-Troop deaths have been trending down since late last year. Wounded troop statistics have been trending downward as well.
-Iraqi military & police deaths have trended downward since their peak in the middle to late stages of last year.
-Iraqi civilian deaths escalated in mid 2005 and spiked drastically in late 2005, but have since returned to pre-escalation levels.
Some quality of life indicators are not so bleakly negative either. Unemployment is down. Private telephone and internet access is drastically better than it was pre-invasion.
In fact, the Iraqi population is far more positive than the population of VeeshanVault.
"Do you think that Iraq today is generally headed in the right direction or the wrong direction?"
Right Direction: Overall 64%, Kurds 76%, Shia 84%, Sunni 6%
(The percentage of respondents who answered 'right direction' peaked at 67% in April 2005, before falling below 50% for the second half of 2005. The fact that it's back up near it's peak is definitely a positive sign.)
"Thinking about any hardships you might have suffered since the U.S.-Britain invasion, do you personally think that ousting Saddam Hussein was worth it or not?"
Worth it: Overall 77%, Kurds 91%, Shia 98%, Sunni 13%
Support for democracy has grown. In an ABC-Time poll conducted in October-November 2005 (at the height of the violence), support for democracy has increased to 57% of Iraqis, while support for an Islamic state had fallen to 14%. 26% support a strong single leader, and most of this support comes from Sunni areas.
Now, obviously this news is not all positive- we really would prefer to not have such significant sectarian divisions. However, to some extent, these sectarian divisions are to be expected, as we did (more or less) remove the Sunnis from power and hand it over to the Shia. Plus, Saddam was busy slaughtering the Shia and the Kurds just a little more than a decade ago, so they've got some residual bitterness there. While there are certainly worries about this sectarian divisiveness, there's no evidence that it's yet escalated to completely unmanageable levels. The Gulf Cooperation Council, made up of Sunni dominated governments (Oman, United Arab Emirates, Bahrain, etc) has recently been calling for Moslem unity instead of sectarian divisiveness. The United States is vastly less effective than regional powers when it comes to dealing with tricky issues internal to Islam.
Now, this is not to say that things are going
great in Iraq. There are certainly serious problems, and the administration did underestimate the severity of those problems. However, to claim that Iraq is constantly plunging into chaos, that at each moment the situation is worse than it was the moment prior, is nothing but blatant hystericism and willful ignorance.
I opposed the decision to invade Iraq, and I continue to believe that I was correct in that belief (we should have been focusing our attention on places with more potential for serious problems, such as Iran and Pakistan). However, my fervently wishing that we had never invaded Iraq will not make it so, and even if we were to just get up and pull all of our troops out, it would not undo the invasion. At this point, we have an ethical obligation to clean up our mess, and a strategic obligation to do the best job possible with the hand we've been dealt. Honestly confronting the situation in Iraq and the Middle East generally is the only way to function effectively in the future.
Edit: I should cite my sources.
http://abcnews.go.com/International/Pol ... id=1389228
http://www.brookings.edu/fp/saban/iraq/index.pdf
And yes, I know it's Brookings. It's just statistics.